Impact of US Taliban Pact on Afghanistan, Asia and Middle East


The USA Taliban agreement signed a couple of days back in Doha is a fig leaf, an attempt to cover American failure in Afghanistan. It is a triumph of the tenacity of the Taliban and the Pakistani army, pitted against the most powerful country in the world.

USA and its army were, and are, way out of their depth in Afghanistan. USA has the most powerful armed forces on the planet today, and also the largest economy. However American policy makers, and think tanks, are as yet unable to make a transition from pitched land battles, massive air and fire power of WWII, to fighting in penny pockets against experts in guerrilla warfare. Americans have failed to understand and address the resilience of cultures built up over centuries of intercinine tribal loyalties and warfare, adverse geography, ability to withstand the harshest punishments that can be delivered in a life time.

Not to forget, ostrich like behaviour in dealing with crooked ‘allies’ who work on a daily basis to fool them and openly support its enemies.

America under President Trump is trying not to repeat the tragi comedy of the evacuation of the American embassy in Saigon. America does not want the world to laugh at it openly once again. Asians call it ‘saving face’.

Afghanistan

Taliban will take over the government. The lives of elected members of the present government including that of president Ghani will be in danger.

There are nearly 3 million registered and unregistered afghan refugees in Pakistan. Approximately 300,000 have been compelled to return to Afghanistan, consequent to Pakistani army pressure. What will be the policy of Pakistan towards those who have lived for nearly four decades in Pakistan. How will Afghanistan manage the torrent of returning refugees?

All educated Afghans and who can manage have already migrated abroad. Soon the few who are left will desert Afghanistan, after all survival comes first.

Back to Medeival ages. No more democracy or even a semblance. Women will be the most hit and deprived. No more schools or education for girl. Shariah laws will be implemented. *

5000 Taliban prisoners are to be released from prisons before 10 March, by Afghan government. This is an understanding between USA and Taliban. Afghan government was not consulted on this . President Ghani knows and is genuinely scared of the problems these Taliban extremists will create and is reluctant to release them.

OPIUM Afghanistan will be among the largest producers of opium. Now under protection and control of Taliban. Menace of increasing number of drug addicts will have to be borne by successive generations of humanity around the world.

Impact on Asia & Middle East

A very positive and favourable ambiance will be created for China and Pakistan.

India, Iran, Iraq Syria and Israel will face mounting problems from dispersal of armed and indoctrinated Sunni militants. Armed and dangerous Taliban and its volunteers from many nations, who were engaging Americans in Afghanistan are now free to be relocated to other areas like Kashmir, Syria, Palestine , and even Africa.

India will be very adversely affected. Installation of a Taliban government in Afghanistan will be a major boost to the geopolitical outreach of Pakistan and its army. It is a vindication of the Pakistani army policy of supporting the Taliban for over three decades, and the ability of its army to fool the Americans not only to part with billions in ‘aid’ but also accept thousands of casualties and shove trillions of dollars down the drain, being engaged in an unwinnable war.

Pakistan will have full support China, and will push in maximum number of terrorists from across the borde into Kashmir and other parts of India. Terrorist training camps will be shifted in to Afghanistan from Pakistan.
All positive efforts by India to improve the lives of Afghans people, through infrastructural projects have gone to waste.
India will now have to work with a fanatical Muslim setup with a medieval mind set.

Prince Salman of Saudi Arabia will also need to be extra careful. Fanatical Wahabis will flood into Saudi Arabia and its neighbouring states, and attempt to destabilise Salman government.

PakistanI Dilemma

Taliban leadership is no pushover.

Pakistan has given shelter to Taliban leaders and their families since 2001. It has provided unstilted support to Taliban in terms of arms, ammunition, intelligence and security against the greatest odds. Pakistan Naturally expects reciprocity from Taliban leaders, a pliable and sympathetic Taliban government in Afghanistan. Pakistani army dream of a base in the rear in case of a showdown with India will be realised.

Durand Line

Durand Line and Pushtoons

However A decade down the line, Pakistan will however need to be careful in handling the Taliban leadership. The euphoria of installation of Taliban government in Afghanistan which couldn’t have happened without full Pakistani army support will be a memory after a decade.

Not to forget that Afghanistan governments have never accepted the Durand line as the legitimate border of Afghanistan. Pashtuns reside on either side of the border, in Afgan Pakistan. How far is the day when Afghanistan will push for return of Pashtun areas from Pakistan?

The border is porus and there is no way it can be made hard, not with so much interaction across the border and Afghanistan being a landlocked country. Pakistan is the largest trading partner of Afghanistan today and is likely to be so in to the distant future. Any attempt to restrict movement of people and trade will sour relationship between Afghanistan and Pakistan.

It will be interesting to watch how the Afghans (wily Taliban’) take advantage of the Pakistani army’s weaknesses and demands for ‘strategic depth’ and protection for Chinese ventures. &

China will be able to take advantage of the changed situation to access the mineral resources of Afghanistan and its market. China will manage initially indirectly through Pakistani army and later directly with the Taliban. Chinese will need access to mineral resources in Afghanistan and also need to keep the Taliban militants out of Uygur, away from its own Islamic underbelly. Taliban leaders are well known for their voracious appetites for wealth, power and armaments. So the Chinese will have no problems in having ‘friendly relations’ with the Taliban.

US and Taliban sign deal to end 18-year Afghan war

Is-there-any-possibility-of-Devendra-Fadanvis-becoming-the-Chief-Minister-of-Maharashtra-in-2020


An interesting state of affairs in Maharashtra.

Shiv Sena’s Uddhav Thackeray has proved a point.

BJP is a party with a dominant national prescence today, and with Modi and Shah at the helm appear to be riding a wave. Shiv Sena nurtured by Bal Thakrey has always claimed to be numero uno in Maharashtra. It has been claiming to be in the forefront for protecting Hindu Interests since decades.

Shivsena, as a regional party has always been loud, vociferous, and presenting a larger than life figure to the public. Self generated sense of importance fuelled by electoral victories in Maharashtra inflated the egos of the top echelons of the party.

The last few years have seen BJP which was no where in the race in Maharashtra, suddenly moving up and even managing to overtake Shiv Sena in its citadel. Worse, BJP managed to install a government with its own chief minister. Post 2019 elections to parliament when BJP won a clear majority, It started to treat its allies less as equals in its partnership agreements.

Shivsena under Uddhav thakrey was not comfortable any more. Added to this was the General feeling that Uddhav Thackeray was not really of the same caliber as his father, Bal Thakrey, who was acknowledged as a no nonsense man. Uddhav Thakrey had to prove himself to the people of Maharashtra and all other national parties, to claim rightful heritage to adorning Bal Thakrey mantle.

He did this by making his son stand for election and won 56 seats in the legislative assembly elections in 2019 in Maharashtra. BJP won 105 seats. Combined the BJP-Shiv Sena had a clear majority in the assembly.

Possibly prior state elections there was an understanding of a Shivsena member becoming the chief minister of Maharashtra. At least that probably was the idea that was carried by Uddhav Thakrey when he went in partnership with BJP in the elections.

When post elections BJP wished to reinstate Fadnavis, the earlier incumbent once again, Uddhav was disappointed. ShivSena felt that they were not being accorded due importance in the partnership by BJP.

Added to this was the fear that unless ShivSena asserted itself, it would soon lose its relevance in Maharashtra in a short time.

Uddhav Thackeray had to move fast to pull out from this predicament.

He cast around and found the old fox Sharad Pawar, an old friend and ally in earlier times. Pawar managed the show behind the scenes. Sharad Pawar, the consummate power broker, drove hard bargains. How Pawar ensured that BJP Shiv Sena alliance was broken up. Managed to install Uddh Thackeray as chief minister of Maharashtra.

The question now is what is the status of Shivsena in the government today. What will be its future in Maharashtra?

NCP- Congress dominates the Maharashtra government. ShivSena has allied with parties that are ideologically opposed to Sena priorities. Dilemma of ShivSena in the present situation has been exposed through many instances, from walking out in Rajya Sabha during Voting for CAA, or inability to stand up for Hindus and its icons including Savarkar.

In analysis Uddhav Thackeray has proved to BJP that he has to be taken seriously. Alliance with ShivSena cannot be taken for granted. ShivSena May have comparatively lesser seats than BJP but it is still relevant when it comes to real politik.

On the ground, can ShivSena manage to overcome the public aversion to its horse trading antics with Pawar before next elections? Or it will be punished severely for its complete desertion of ideologies, and worse, seen to be actively partnering with and promoting anti Hindu parties?

With the passage of time Handling veteran Pawar and Congress will only be getting more and more difficult for Uddhav Thakrey

It is a fact that Uddhav Thackeray has proved his point. If wise BJP should be aware it and plan and accordingly in future.*

One way forward for Uddhav Thakrey that will ensure his continued authority in Maharashtra and relevance of Shivsena in the future.

He can complete say a year or so as chief minister. BJP should gracefully let bygones be bygones and extend olive branch to Uddhav Thakrey. (advocated wisely by Subramaniam Swamy much earlier).

A wiser Uddhav can do with some hard bargaining with BJP. He can then step down by NOv Dec 2020, allow a BJP CM before next elections and make his son Dy CM. His party would have been in power for five years, old sins washed off to a great extent.

Another alternative for Uddhav Thackeray is to hand over to NCP and become irrelevant for a decade or more.

Third is for Uddhav Thackeray is to be dethroned in a palace coup sooner or later and lose relevance along with Shivsena.

  • BJP has learned not to be over confident. It is willing to accept NitishKumar as the next Chief Minister in Bihar in the coming elections.

In SUPPORT of CAA & NRC


Abhijeet Satogiya
Abhijeet Satogiya, Aficionado of Indian Politics

The biggest shocker and an incredible example would be the support of JNU for CAA. I’ve mentioned why India actually needs NRC and CAA – read till the end. The politicians won’t talk about it cause it may be bad for them to speak about it, but the truth is hidden from almost everyone on why Leftists and Muslims are against the CAA and NRC

BJP received over 52 lakh calls in support of CAA

We already are supporting CAA and NRC ! Yesterday, I was in Indore giving my State PSC Prelims.

I witnessed more than 10,000 people rallying and supporting the NRC and CAA. It’s actually very less percentage of the people, who are against it. The politicians who want a vote bank from Indian Muslims.

After removing Triple Talaq, Article 370 – the present government was admired by everyone irrespective of their religion, caste or creed.

The Congress meanwhile saw their ship sinking and had to do something about it.

What they decide is to stand against everything done by the present government. They were against removing Article 370, the Jammu and Kashmir being a Union Territory, and soon they’ll be against Uniform Civil Code.

What they’re trying to do, is to divert the attention of everyone from what the government has done, to something that isn’t even a matter.

Every Indian other than the 0.5% communists, leftists, people against Hinduism and the opposition are against the CAA as they want India to become the next Lebanon. Lebanon was a great nation before radical Islam arrived there.

Source: Indian diaspora in United States hold rallies in support of CAA

The Congress meanwhile saw their ship sinking and had to do something about it.

What they decide is to stand against everything done by the present government. They were against removing Article 370, the Jammu and Kashmir being a Union Territory, and soon they’ll be against Uniform Civil Code.

What they’re trying to do, is to divert the attention of everyone from what the government has done, to something that isn’t even a matter.

Every Indian other than the 0.5% communists, leftists, people against Hinduism and the opposition are against the CAA as they want India to become the next Lebanon. Lebanon was a great nation before radical Islam arrived there.

Source: Indian diaspora in United States hold rallies in support of CAA

Reason 2 for support :

I support NRC, UCC & CAA, to prevent India from being the next victim of Radical Islam.

Brigitte Gabriel’s words explain – how radicalism is dangerous for humanity.

I come from Lebanon, I was born and raised in 5Lebanon which used to be the only majority Christian country in the Middle East.

We were open-minded, we were fair, we were tolerant, we were multicultural, we pride ourselves in our multiculturalism, we had open border policy, we welcomed everyone to come to our country because we wanted to share with them the westernization which we had created in the heart of the Arabic world.

Muslims used to send their children to study in our universities because we had built the best universities in the Arabic world they graduated and works in our economy because we had built the best economy in the Middle East.

Even though we did not have any oil, Beirut became Paris of the Middle East, the banking capital of the Middle East. In 1965, National Geographic Magazine had on its front cover : Lebanon – Eden of the Middle East and fortunately all this began to change as the years went by.

We got our independence in the early 40s but by the 60s and 70s the Christians had become the minority and the Muslims had become the majority in Lebanon and as the Islamic population grew in the country, the country became less and less tolerantbecause they started pushing for more rights that were not compatible without/with our judeo-christian value system that we had created and that’s when the problems started.

The problem was contained until the influx of the Palestinians out of Jordan in 1970 when Lebanon brought them in because we already had refugee camps, actually at that time Lebanon was the only country in the Middle East to accept a third wave of Palestinians into Lebanon; the majority of them were Muslims. They put their heads together with the muslims in lebanon and declared jihad on the Christians.

What they wanted to do is create a base from which to fight Israel kill the Jews and throw them into the sea something they tried to do in Jordan. Yes, Arafat and the Palestinians tried to do in Jordan, but they failed because of the dictatorship of the King, yet they were able to come to Lebanon use our open-mindedness, our fairness our tolerance, our multiculturalism and our democracy, to topple our democracy my 9/11 happened to be in 1975 when that when radical Muslims blew up my home, bringing it down burying me under the rubble wounded as they shouted Allahu Akbar. My only crime was that I was a Christian living in a Christian town. I ended up in a hospital for two and a half months and as I laid in a hospital bed, hooked up to IVs in both arms, I would ask my parents, why did they do this to us ? why did they attack us ? and my father would tell me –because we are Christians the Muslims consider us infidels and they want to kill us”, so I knew since I was a 30 year old child that I am wanted dead simply because I was born into the Christian faith and lived in a Christian town.

Source : Search on youtube : my 9 11 Happened to be in 1975

There’s a whole story behind why Muslims were excluded from CAA. It’s just that the politicians can’t show their political bias towards any religion and lose their vote bank.

The fact of the matter is that in India – “Long live Mother India” is considered communal, while “La ilah illa Allah = no god, except Allah.” is not communal.

Proof :

While Indian leftist want India to be democratic like America and other countries, they’ve forgotten the DACA and DAPA – under which USA removed every single illegal immigrant from their country. The NRI’s in India are urged to support JNU and go against CAA, but meanwhile –

Source: DU, JNU students march in support of citizenship law (DU, JNU students march in support of citizenship law

Is USA primarily responsible for the rise of ISIS?


NO. USA is NOT the main cause of ISIS terrorism. These are blatant lies floated by apologists for hiding the evil persons connected with ISIS and whitewashing the narrative parts of theology of hatred cemented in them.

Actions of ISIS leaders and fighters clearly indicates their mindset, which is a throwback on medieval beliefs. They have ruthlessly masaccered innocents, raped and enslaved women by hundreds in lands occupied by them. *
They claim to follow rules, strictures and emulate the actions of their forebears, as per their holy book the Quran.

the caliphate has continued to embrace slavery and crucifixion without apology. We will conquer your Rome, break your crosses, and enslave your women,” Adnani, the spokesman, promised in one of his periodic valentines to the West. “If we do not reach that time, then our children and grandchildren will reach it, and they will sell your sons as slaves at the slave market.”

*What ISIS Really Wants

 

Quite a few Muslims call their actions UN Islamic. However the support that Isis ideology has received from Muslims (even silent support from some Middle East regimes) around The world indicates that this philosophy is not entirely disliked or abhorrent.

 

How could the idea of ISIS then make such a come back after centuries?

 

Ground conditions in the Middle East helped the seeds of ISIS philosophy to sprout. Isis is basically a Sunni Muslim set up. Saudi Arabia had no issues with ISIS since it was occupying Lands in Syria which was being ruled by the Baathist party led by Non-Sunni Muslims, that is Alhawites.

 

Government of Turkey give the ISIS a free hand to travel across its territories and the border since according to them ISIS was targeting Syria and The Kurds.

 

The immature actions by the US a accentuated the problems in the Middle East. Having disposed off Saddam Hussein Saddam, US took a major incorrect decision, a blunder in fact, to disband the Iraqi army overnight. This rendered thousands of active service personal rootless, but in possession of arms, ammunition and even heavy weapons and vehicles.

 

Most of most of the iraqi army personnel set adrift were Sunni Muslims who had very little love lost for the Shia dominated government that was in place after Saddam Hussain was displaced.

 

ISIS was able to attract many of these army veterans. Promise of good pay and loot, along with status, and relegious beliefs that coincided with ISIS philosophy enlarged ISIS strength in numbers and weapons.

Initially it was a cake walk for ISIS fighters. Within one year they had occupied vast swathes of territory including oil fields in working conditions.

 

The real danger that ISIS portended to international peace was realised late. Luckily some sense dawned on USA which could come to some understanding with USSR and helped in the defeat of ISIS.

 

However it should be clearly understood that, the philosophy Of ISIS is acceptable to vast majority of Muslims around the world, and it is the sword of

NO. USA is NOT the main cause of ISIS terrorism. These are blatant lies floated by apologists for hiding the evil persons connected with ISIS and whitewashing the narrative parts of theology of hatred cemented in them.

 

Actions of ISIS leaders and fighters clearly indicates their mindset, which is a throwback on medieval beliefs. They have ruthlessly masaccered innocents, raped and enslaved women by hundreds in lands occupied by them. *

They claim to follow rules, strictures and emulate the actions of their forebears, as per their holy book the Quran.

 

“ the caliphate has continued to embrace slavery and crucifixion without apology. “We will conquer your Rome, break your crosses, and enslave your women,” Adnani, the spokesman, promised in one of his periodic valentines to the West. “If we do not reach that time, then our children and grandchildren will reach it, and they will sell your sons as slaves at the slave market.”

What ISIS Really Wants

 

Quite a few Muslims call their actions UN Islamic. However the support that Isis ideology has received from Muslims (even silent support from some Middle East regimes) around The world indicates that this philosophy is not entirely disliked or abhorrent.

 

How could the idea of ISIS then make such a come back after centuries?

 

Ground conditions in the Middle East helped the seeds of ISIS philosophy to sprout. Isis is basically a Sunni Muslim set up. Saudi Arabia had no issues with ISIS since it was occupying Lands in Syria which was being ruled by the Baathist party led by Non-Sunni Muslims, that is Alhawites.

 

Government of Turkey give the ISIS a free hand to travel across its territories and the border since according to them ISIS was targeting Syria and The Kurds.

 

The immature actions by the US a accentuated the problems in the Middle East. Having disposed off Saddam Hussein Saddam, US took a major incorrect decision, a blunder in fact, to disband the Iraqi army overnight. This rendered thousands of active service personal rootless, but in possession of arms, ammunition and even heavy weapons and vehicles.

 

Most of most of the iraqi army personnel set adrift were Sunni Muslims who had very little love lost for the Shia dominated government that was in place after Saddam Hussain was displaced.

 

ISIS was able to attract many of these army veterans. Promise of good pay and loot, along with status, and relegious beliefs that coincided with ISIS philosophy enlarged ISIS strength in numbers and weapons.

Initially it was a cake walk for ISIS fighters. Within one year they had occupied vast swathes of territory including oil fields in working conditions.

 

The real danger that ISIS portended to international peace was realised late. Luckily some sense dawned on USA which could come to some understanding with USSR and helped in the defeat of ISIS.

 

However it should be clearly understood that, the philosophy Of ISIS is acceptable to vast majority of Muslims around the world, and it is the sword of Damocles hanging on all nations.

 

*A study group of Islamic State scholars had convened, on government orders, to resolve this issue. If they are pagans, the article’s anonymous author wrote,

 

Yazidi women and children [are to be] divided according to the Shariah amongst the fighters of the Islamic State who participated in the Sinjar operations [in northern Iraq] … Enslaving the families of the kuffar [infidels] and taking their women as concubines is a firmly established aspect of the Shariah that if one were to deny or mock, he would be denying or mocking the verses of the Koran and the narrations of the Prophet … and thereby apostatizing from Islam.

 

What ISIS Really Wants

hanging on all nations.

 

*A study group of Islamic State scholars had convened, on government orders, to resolve this issue. If they are pagans, the article’s anonymous author wrote,

 

Yazidi women and children [are to be] divided according to the Shariah amongst the fighters of the Islamic State who participated in the Sinjar operations [in northern Iraq] … Enslaving the families of the kuffar [infidels] and taking their women as concubines is a firmly established aspect of the Shariah that if one were to deny or mock, he would be denying or mocking the verses of the Koran and the narrations of the Prophet … and thereby apostatizing from Islam.

 

What ISIS Really Wants

“INDIAN ELEPHANT MUST TANGO WITH CARE”


News : Indian Prime Minister Modi is to meet Chinese President XI Jinping on the side-lines of Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) Summit at Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) to be held on 13-14 June 2019.

There are many blurbs and snippets of ‘Good friends’, Modi and Xi Jinping meeting, in Bishkek to discuss various issues of trade and commerce in a world unsettled by President Trump’s America First policy.

China which is at the receiving end of Trump’s policies would definitely like India on its side. Hence there is a lot of sweet talk from the Chinese media towards Modi. Chinese are well aware of the mushy sentimentality and naivete of Indians in the hard world of international politics.

In international relations, dealings with other countries would depend upon a number of factors, personal aims, ambitions and confidence of its leaders, national interests, economic and military clout, ideologies and history, just to name a few, and not necessarily in that order.

Realpolitik is all about transactional outcome.

In matters of state and serious diplomacy, even allowing for personal likes and dislikes, personal friendships and geniality go only so far in achieving ensuring national objectives.

Here it would be interesting to note what President Trump had to say about the meeting he is expected to have with Xi Jinping on the side lines of SCO.

“ I have a great relationship with him. He’s actually an incredible guy… but he’s for China and I’m for the US.” BLOOMBERG

In the case of China, even cursory perusal of its history will indicate an inherent tendency to expand and dominate, in correspondence with its growth in economic and military power. During the last century China has not only been laying claims but has managed to occupy neighboring countries like Tibet and Xinyang, and also extend its hegemony on the high seas, The Nine Dash line, unilaterally projected by China, claims areas that as per laws of the sea belong to Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia and Indonesia. (China even “added a tenth-dash line to the east of Taiwan island in 2013 as a part of its official sovereignty claim to the disputed territories in the South China Sea.[11][13][14” ])Wiki.

At present China is a fast growing power, and among the strongest in the world.1 It has a political and administrative set up with a strong leadership due to which it is able to harness its potentials effectively and efficiently.2

China has avoided major military confrontations after 1979, when it last invaded Vietnam and clashed on the banks of Ussuri R with Russia.. However it has not desisted from frequent testing of its military and naval might and provoking responses of neighbors in from Ussuri R to Himalayas on land and in the South China Sea, where it has built up islands big enough to land aircraft and berths to dock naval vessels. (Dhoklam is only one among the latest in small time ‘provoke & test’ incursions).

In its strategic calculations China has accorded high priority to the access and domination of the Indian Ocean. An oil deficient country, China imports vast quantities, up to 10 million barrels a day, of crude and natural gas. Ships carrying millions of tonnes of oil and gas have to cross the Indian Ocean and the Straits of Malacca on the way home from the Middle East. While China’s desire to safeguard its trade routes in the Indian Ocean,3 and quest for a safe and clear land route to the southern oceans is natural, the methods adopted, and the steps taken to achieve the objectives are clearly producing negative reactions in South Asia. The pressures exerted on countries like Myanmar, Malaysia, Srilanka, Pakistan, and Maldives to undertake road and port projects are raising hackles locally.

A positive approach by China would lead to peace, security and prosperity for all in Asia.

If China accepts that every South Asian country has a right to live and be independent, it will stop propping up and inciting neighbours to fight with one another. It was the colonial mindset, and China should avoid it in its dealing with neighbours.

A positive attitude towards India and other South Asian Countries would have easily opened up land routes and through Myanmar, Bangladesh and India. It would have raised trade relations to even higher levels. Its land routes would have been

secure. India with its growing naval power could have taken easily care of and secured the high seas in the Indian Ocean for safe movements of Chinese vessels.

Even better, the India-China border of 3380 km stretching over inhospitable mountainous terrain, would have been peaceful; making redundant large deployments of Chinese forces.

However, the uncompromising approach adopted by China in its dealings with neighboring states has led to rise in unnecessary tensions, imprudence in Chinese financial transactions, reduction in security, increase in terrorism and support to terrorist organisations.

Flawed Chinese policies today, in respect of its relations with other south Asian countries, have compelled it to supporting a Pakistan run by its obscurantist military. The China Pakistan Economic corridor, though good on paper, and costing $ 60 billion +, is fraught with growing problems. Pakistan is a state that is financially unviable today, and a high risk area for any judicious entrepreneur to invest in. China is sinking over $ 60 billion there. Will it ever recover that amount?

However,a major Indian concern is the fact that CPEC passes through Indian territory illegally occupied by Pakistan. China is not even willing to accept this fact and is going ahead with the CPEC project completely ignoring India’s concerns.

Chinese have so far turned a blind eye to the export of terrorism by Pakistani terrorist organisations. The case of JeM and Masood Azar is too familiar to bear repetition. It must be noted that repeated friendly overtures by India and Modi had no effect in declaring Azar a terrorist. It took the combined efforts of USA, UK and France to move XI Jinping to an acceptance of declaring Azar as a terrorist.

A matter of cultural trait, Indians tend to be emotional and sentimental, and accept others blindly, to a fault. Delusion that going out of the way to express friendship, hoping that personal friendship and amenability will subsume national interests have clouded the judgement of Indian leaders since independence. Mushy idealism and sentimentalism have lead to India abrogating national interests and losing time and again to worldly wise leaders from other countries.

The best of bargaining chips have been frittered away by Indian negotiators and Prime Ministers, from Jawaharlal Nehru, Indira Gandhi, Morarji Desai, Rajiv Gandhi. To IK Gujaral, and Manmohan Singh. Loss of Tibet, a third of Kashmir, areas in the Rann of Kutch, surrender and betrayal of intelligence assets , the list is long and excruciating.

Coming back to Prime Minister Modi, his ‘goodwill and personal friendship’ with Nawaz Sharif did not get India anywhere in its quest for peace and security, or elimination of cross border, state sponsored terrorism with Pakistan.

In the case of China comparatively quite borders in the North should not lull India to the threats emanating from the encircling strategy adopted by China in the Indian ocean and the littoral states. In pursuit of ‘Active Defense’ as explained in its

Science of Military Strategy , China’s Naval forces are being augmented on a monthly basis. By 2030 China will possess at least 5 aircraft carriers, 50 + destroyers, 50 + frigates, and 25 submarines of which at least 6 will be Nuclear. Chinese Navy plans to dominate not just the China Sea but the Indian ocean and beyond to the Suez and the Gulf of Aqaba.

Historically China has never given up on its claims to territory on land or Sea. It has boycotted, ignored, or simply brushed aside any objections to its claims. Its stand on Aksai Chin, McMahon Line are known to us. The manner it has rejected and brushed aside the verdict of Haig tribunal’s ruling in South China Sea case which upheld the case of Philippines and pulled up China is among the latest approach to international behaviour.

Luckily India has a pragmatic leader in Prime Minister Modi. With Shri Doval and Shri Jaishankar, who have proved their mettle more than once in matters of security and diplomacy as advisors, India can expect the best possible outcome in the SCO meeting.

The Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague ruled on Tuesday that China’s claims to the resource-rich and strategically vital South China Sea had no legal basis. China, which had boycotted the case brought by the Philippines, vowed to ignore the ruling, saying the UN-backed tribunal had no jurisdiction over the case and accused it of bias. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/07/philippines-china-respect-hague-ruling-160714055516116.html

Lalloo Laughs


Is  it true that Lalloo and his friends laughed on hearing the news of president of Peru committing suicide over a trivial matter.

Facing arrest for indulging in bribery.

https://eur01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.app.goo.gl%2FAC8NnSa1Ec8tPgxSA&data=02%7C01%7C%7C89e366cc58f6405d0c6208d6c3d38ad5%7C84df9e7fe9f640afb435aaaaaaaaaaaa%7C1%7C0%7C636911710658893950&sdata=0qWMFAU1h3MGh5E1h372rUYv%2FCrqDbLl0zcJcNPPNd0%3D&reserved=0

 

Former Peruvian President Alan García has died after shooting himself as police arrived at his home to arrest him over bribery allegations.

Mr García was rushed to hospital in the capital, Lima. His death was confirmed by current President Martín Vizcarra.

A crowd of supporters gathered outside the hospital building, and were held back by a line of police officers.

Mr García was accused of taking bribes from Brazilian construction company Odebrecht – claims he denied.

Mr García served as president from 1985 to 1990 and again from 2006 to

What is the possible outcome of USA against Pakistan for using its F-16 aircraft to attack Indian army base


 

This was in reply to a Query on Quora
Ramakrishnan C M, Colonel, Indian Army, retd, BSc, PGDM, MA(Political Science)

 

Nothing much.

Pakistan has been using weapons and wepons systems supplied by USA directly or through its NATO / CENTO/ Middle East allies regularly since 1965. It has done so openly and in flagrant breach of limitations agreements with supplier nations. Dozens of Patton Tanks displayed in Indian cantonements are those that Pakistani IST Armoured Division lost in its battle of ASA, Uttar in September 1965.

Subsequently Pakistan has utilised weapons systems, aircraft, ships and even submarines in its repeated misadventures against India.*

A major concern of USA is the fact that a low technology fighter like mig 21 could down one of its sophisticated aircraft, thereby reducing its aura of superiority and invincibility, compared to other fighters in the international markets.

Another concern would be the availability of F16 systems for evaluation by experts from Russia or India . This does not appear possible since there has been no information on any complete system having been retrieved from the wreckage site, which anyhow was in Pakistan only.

Pakistan has been admistered a slight slap on the hand now and then by USA, like when their demand for F 16 was reduced from 60 to 14, and Pakistan was made to pay for them. Pressler Amendments, Symington Amendments, have all been superseded through presidential certificates, even on nuclear proliferation by Pakistan.

Pakistan has through its projection as a frontline state against Communism in general (from 1948), and againstRussians in Afghanistan became the blue eyed boy in Asia. It has developed excellent rapport in Pentagon, State department and among prominent members of its political parties. Its China card is gathering weightage enough to rattle the policy makers in USA. Add to it the role USA is expecting Pakistan to play in the ongoing talks with Afghan Taliban, to enable a face saving exit of its troops.

Rhetorics apart nothing much can be expected on the utilisation of F16 against India now or in near future.

*US arms Pakistan with 14 combat aircrafts, 59 trainer jets, 374 armoured carriers

India had in the past have opposed the transfer of such arms to Pakistan as it believes Islamabad would eventually use the fighter jets against it